Feb
25
2011
0

Fight Picks and Predictions for UFC 127 Prelims: Aussie or Outie?


By Nicholas Bailey

UFC 127: Penn vs. Fitch

PRELIMINARY CARD (ION Television)

Spencer Fisher (+160) vs. Ross Pearson (-175)
BestFightOdds.com

Spencer Fisher is a crumbling mess. He is basically the prototypical broken-down fighter training in a situation that is a shambles of the professional environment he found in his heyday. Pearson got a lot of attention as a steadily-improving TUF product, even if he didn’t explode out with crazy performances. Much of that was derailed when Cole Miller ate his lunch, but he should be able to completely maul Fisher in a sad spectacle. Ross Pearson by TKO round 3.

Alexander Gustafsson (-315) vs. James Te Huna (+275)
BestFightOdds.com

This is going to be a very violent fight. Gustafsson is an enormous human being, and he’s a pretty good fighter on top of it. Te Huna isn’t an elite fighter, but he brings gameness and cracking power. There’s going to be some violence in this tilt. Gustafsson is a good deal better and more well-rounded, but there’s always a chance Te Huna can knock somebody out. Gustafsson by TKO round 2.

Riki Fukuda (-130) vs. Nick Ring (EVEN)
BestFightOdds.com

This is going to be a real scrap. Neither man has a particular skill that will outshine the other for the kind of imbalance that leads to a stoppage. Ring has to be at a disadvantage due to Fukuda’s superior wrestling, a nasty series of knee injuries, and the very long layoff those injuries have produced. Riki Fukuda by decision.


PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)

Jason Reinhardt (+235) vs. Tiequan Zhang (-275)
BestFightOdds.com

Zhang is being given a gift here. He’s not ready for real UFC-caliber fighters, but he’s handy for putting the UFC on the map in China. He’s not going to be a superstar, but he gets on TV and raises brand awareness, which is crucial for a long-term strategy. Reinhardt is just going to get jobbed, and quickly. Also Zhang’s nickname of “The Mongolian Wolf” is totally boss. Tiequan Zhang by submission, round 1.

Tom Blackledge (-180) vs. Anthony Perosh (+160)
BestFightOdds.com

Perosh is the better grappler, but his chin is awful. Blackledge is really good at finding ways to land his head kick. That’s a good recipe for a brutal KO, but there’s no sure thing with fighters this size at this middling skill level. It would be no shock for Perosh to sneak something in and put Blackledge down or to snatch something up for a submission, but the most likely outcome is Blackledge putting him to sleep, and quickly. Blackledge by KO round 1.

PRELIMINARY CARD (Untelevised)

Mark Hunt (+215) vs. Chris Tuchscherer (-260)
BestFightOdds.com

Can’t they both lose? Saying Hunt is just fighting for a paycheck is actually overstating his commitment to the sport at this point. Hunt is appearing in the cage and possibly taking some lumps before getting tapped out in order that he may buy more food. Tuchscherer has fallen completely flat even as a low-level UFC heavyweight, and is ready to be cut, but he’ll get a win here. Tuchscherer by submission round 1.

Maciej Jewtuszko (-150) vs. Curt Warburton (+125)
BestFightOdds.com

Maciej hits really hard and has some submission chops. Curt Warburton doesn’t have what it takes to get past a shell of a man in the form of Spencer Fisher. It’s time for Jewtuszko to show us how much of a fluke the KO of Njokuani was (or wasn’t). Jewtuszko by KO round 1.

More UFC 127 Predictions & Pre-Fight Analysis

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